So, it looks like Pete Buttigieg and Bernie Sanders for all intents and purposes, split Iowa. They came away as the two big winners and got most of the state delegates. Joe Biden, as everyone knows now, came away the loser. And that is actually a big deal. Let’s go back to 2004. John Kerry won Iowa. He ended up the nominee. In 2008, Bobo Obama won Iowa. He ended up the nominee. In 2016, Hillary Clinton won Iowa. She ended up the nominee. Are you seeing a pattern here?
What does New Hampshire’s primary prove today? Well, not much. Because as Iowa has been able to accurately predict the Democrat nominee, New Hampshire has pretty much sucked at that, and they’ve proven to be able to predict the Republican nominee. Again, going back to 2008 (since George W. Bush was the incumbent in 2004), John McCain won New Hampshire. In 2012, Mitt Romney won New Hampshire, and in 2016, Donald Trump won New Hampshire. It shows that at least with recent history, Iowa chooses the nominee better with Democrats, and New Hampshire does better picking Republican nominees.
In New Hampshire in 2004, they did pick the eventual nominee in John Kerry, who was also almost a native son being from nearby Massachusetts. In 2008, when Bobo Obama was the nominee, Hillary Clinton won the primary, and in 2016, when Hillary Clinton was the nominee, Bernie Sanders won the primary.
So, today’s primary, probably doesn’t prove anything…except that the two guys that are at the top of the latest polls, Sanders and Buttigieg came out of Iowa basically winners. Sanders won the popular vote there, Buttigieg got I think one or two more delegates.
And what does all of that mean? Nothing. Right now the Democrat party is in disarray. The Iowa Caucus was a mess. The impeachment trial blew up in the faces of the Democrats in DC. Nancy Pelosi embarrassed not only herself, but her party with her antics at the State of the Union speech by ripping up the speech. And all of that kinda sorta has me a little concerned. Not scared just yet, but concerned.
Remember back when the Republicans were blamed for shutting down the government, and everyone felt going into an election year it would have a major impact on the outcome? It didn’t. Remember when anytime there has been some major happening against one of the two major parties nine or ten months out, it looks like it will doom them in the upcoming election? It usually doesn’t. That’s because America has a very short attention span anymore. We are all stuck in a 24 hour news cycle, and what was a major catastrophe yesterday is pretty well forgotten by the week’s end.
And while I really hope and pray that Americans remember all of the silly childish antics the Democrats have put on display here (the latest one has AOC declaring that Donald Trump pays African American people to say they support him!), there’s something gnawing at me that says it can all turn around very quickly between now and election day. Somehow I don’t think any of this is going to play into the voters’ minds come November.
That is the sad part. Because just as Iowa predicts Democrat nominees and New Hampshire predicts Republican nominees, America seems to forget. It’s going to be more about those two or three debates that Trump has with whomever comes out of the Democrat side, and less about Congress and impeachment, or tearing up a speech. That’s wrong. Democrats should be held responsible for their actions in Congress over the last two years. All of their investigations when they should have been doing the peoples’ business is just a waste of taxpayer money. They are wrong for doing that and they need to be held accountable for it.
The presidential candidates are wrong in thinking they can promise the world to the voters and expect the voters to come running to them. Hillary Clinton was actually right on that account. There will be a price to pay for their exuberance. And that does play into Donald Trump’s hands.
Let’s just hope America wakes up to the fraud that has become the Democrat party before it’s too late!
Carry on world…you’re dismissed!