Chuckles Schumer realizes he’s in a terrible position. Having just 50 Democrats in the US Senate is like having 10. They really can’t do anything without the Vice President coming along for the ride. And trust me, Schumer realizes that unless you can convince the Senate Parliamentarian that you can use the “budget reconciliation” measure to pass something with only 51 votes, you’re doomed.
Chuckles Schumer is doomed.
So, in typical Democrat style, if they can’t win, they cheat. If they can’t cheat, they change the rules. And that’s the position that Schumer finds himself in today. He can’t win when it comes to what he feels is the most important legislation he’ll deal with this year, which is his voter “rights” legislation. It’s designed to make sure no Democrat anywhere in the country ever loses another election. And it has nothing to do with the budget, so according to the filibuster rules, he needs 60 votes to get it passed. And therein lies the rub.
So, Schumer wants to get rid of the filibuster. Maybe not altogether (though he’d love that), but on this ONE item. Then he could insure that his party could always win their elections because it would make it impossible for Republicans to compete. It’s the ultimate stab. He’s got a problem or two however. Joe Manchin (D-WV) and Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ) are standing in the way. He still would need 50 votes, plus K-baby Harris to get rid of the filibuster. And he doesn’t have the votes to do that. Manchin has said that the talk has been to do a “carve out”, which is basically an exception to the rule. He’s not in favor of that either.
IF (and it’s a pretty big if) the Democrats are able to finagle the rules to get the filibuster rule changed, they’d be able to get the voting rights issue passed. And that is their ultimate goal prior to the November elections, because it’s the only way they see of keeping Congress under Democrat control. And there is another rub they aren’t seeing.
Let’s call that the Harry Reid Rule.
See, Reid is the guy that decided back when Bobo Obama was president that he was going to have to allow only 51 votes to approve confirmations of everyone except Supreme Court Justices. That meant Bobo could pack the courts. And he did. But what Reid didn’t count on was losing the Senate to Republicans and then they could add to that rule, or should I say take away from that rule. Rather than making 60 votes confirming Supreme Court nominees, they included that in the Reid Rule. Now it only takes 51 votes to confirm a Supreme Court nominee. What helped Reid out in the short term, has allowed the Supreme Court to swing to a 6-3 conservative court. And it allowed Donald Trump to appoint 261 federal judges (in several different courts). By contrast though, Obama appointed 349 federal judges in his eight years.
So, my theory is that if the Democrats are able to somehow change or suspend the rules for the filibuster for their voting rights act, it’s going to be problematic for them when the Republicans take charge again (and they will). First of all, the law will be challenged, and it will have to go to the Supreme Court eventually. It will be found unconstitutional, and voided. But second, it will allow the Republicans to make further inroads and further tear up the Senate. Did the Dems learn their lesson with Harry Reid? All they are doing is causing a short term victory that will at some point be overturned by the Supreme Court.
The best way for the Dems to move forward is to try and play fair. If you can’t do that, you lose. It’s about the only thing that makes any sense. Of course, Democrats don’t make much sense!
Carry on world…you’re dismissed!