There is no doubt that Donald Trump has been endorsing a ton of people this election cycle. And while most of the people he’s endorsing for Congress and the nation’s governor’s mansions have been non-incumbents, you have to ask yourself if they are actually the best candidates for the job?
Here in Arizona, Trump’s endorsed candidates swept through the primaries with wins. The closest contest was for Governor, where former newscaster, Kari Lake defeated businesswoman, Karrin Taylor Robson in a “too close to call race”. Polls leading up to the primary last Tuesday had Lake up by as much as 18 points, but she squeaked out a 2 point win that took four days to decide.
In Missouri, Trump made one of the weirdest endorsements I’ve ever heard of. He endorsed “Eric”. The problem was, there were two Eric’s in the race. Eric Greitens, was the former Governor of Missouri who had resigned amid sexual misconduct scandals. Eric Schmitt ended up winning the primary by a pretty resounding figure. Trump’s endorsement in Missouri came on Monday before the election.
My whole question here is whether Trump is endorsing the best candidates, or just the candidates that have been saying that the election was stolen from him in 2020. That was the case in the four people he endorsed here in Arizona. And in every situation where the candidates clamored about the election being stolen, Trump supported. At least that’s the way it looks.
Now, it does seem that Trump has a magic touch when it comes to the endorsements. Of the 57 endorsements that he made involving non-incumbent candidates, 33 won, 9 have lost and one is in a run off. 14 of the endorsed candidates are awaiting their primaries. That’s a 78.6% win ratio so far. If Trump doesn’t have sway in the Republican party, he’s on one hell of a hot streak! But again, are these the best candidates for the job? Or, are they just supporters of Donald Trump?
It has yet to be seen whether the Trump candidates can actually win the general election in November. It doesn’t necessarily look good in a lot of key races. In Arizona, Blake Masters, the Trump endorsed candidate trails incumbent Mark Kelly for the Senate seat by 9 points. In Georgia, Hershel Walker is trailing Raphael Warnock by 4.4 points in the latest poll. In Pennsylvania, Democrat John Fetterman leads Trump endorsed Mehmet Oz by 11 points. And in Nevada, Adam Laxalt trails incumbent Catherine Cortez Masto by between 3 and 8 points.
In the Governor’s race in Pennsylvania, Democrat Josh Shapiro leads Trump endorsed Doug Mastriano by 7 points.
In each of those cases, Trump endorsed candidates won their primaries pretty easily (except for Lake in Arizona), and are in need of help in the general election. There’s time to turn that around, but it’s interesting that some of those that Trump endorsed, like Oz in PA, have turned their back on Trump. It hasn’t helped. My point here is that while Trump may hold sway in the GOP, is it enough to cross the finish line when it counts in November? So far the answer seems to be no.
It almost harkens back to the days of the Tea Party. They were great at winning primaries, but sucked when it came to winning the seat in November!
We’ll have to wait and see what happens as the races tighten up next month!
Carry on world…you’re dismissed!