The biggest fear Democrats have at this point isn’t that Donald Trump is going to win reelection. I think they have already resigned themselves to that point, and the fact that Michael Bloomberg and Deval Patrick are going to be entering the race at this late date is evidence of that. There is something even more frightening that they are even more worried about.
Ruth Bader Ginsburg missed an oral argument session at the Supreme Court this week because she was home sick. Oh, we were told it was nothing. She was just feeling a little under the weather. Nothing to see her folks, move along.
The Democrats are worried beyond belief that she isn’t just ailing, but is deathly ill and could die before they regain the White House. The Supreme Court is already 5-4 in favor of the conservatives, and if RBG dies before a Dem can occupy 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, they realize their chances of getting hold of the Supreme Court majority die with her for the at least the next 25 or 30 years.
Now the big question in this game of “What If?” is, IF Bader Ginsburg dies, do the Republicans in the Senate treat it differently than Obama’s last term when he was not running for reelection. Remember Merrick Garland? He was appointed by Obama, but never got a confirmation hearing because Republicans said you shouldn’t get to nominate someone in an election year, BEFORE the election…let the American public decide, remember?
So, what happens if Ruthie decides to bite the big one and call it quits between now and next November? I mean, even IF Trump wins reelection, which is widely expected, you’re going to think the confirmation hearings of Brett Kavanaugh was a Sunday picnic in the park compared to what’s going to be thrown at the conservative that replaces Bader Ginsburg! They aren’t replacing a moderate with a conservative, they are replacing a rock-ribbed liberal with a conservative and the 5-4 court suddenly becomes 6-3!
But even if RBG does pass away between now and the election, and she isn’t replaced until after the election, the court becomes more conservative because you’d go a year with one less liberal on the bench. That means you’d go from a 5-4 court to a 5-3 court.
Democrats are probably more worried about this scenario than anything Donald Trump could throw at them. And all of a sudden, the big bad wolf isn’t Trump…it’s Mitch McConnell, who would make the decision to either hold the confirmation hearing now, or wait until after the election. And I’ll say this…
There’s nothing more fun to watch than Chuck Schumer with a vain popping out of the side of his head, giving a speech in the Senate!
Carry on world…you’re dismissed!