Trump’s Mistake?

Well, I don’t care what party or political belief structure you own up to, you didn’t get much of a break. We just learned that the GOP will indeed take over the House of Representatives next year, BUT FIRST… had to endure Donald Trump announcing that he’s going to be running for president again in 2024. So, we haven’t even finished the midterm cycle, and we’ve begun with the presidential cycle.

And it was a big mistake.

Now, it will be interesting to see what happens somewhere in the summer of 2024, but Rasmussen has just come out with a poll stating that a whopping 60% of American voters have said they don’t want Donald Trump to run. 32% thought it was a good idea.

Most of the respondents to the poll said they would opt for Florida Governor, Ron DeSantis over Trump if it came to that. I would tend to agree and have said so here. I think that in Trump’s running for the nomination speech we are looking at the same thing as we did in 2016 with Hillary Clinton and Jeb Bush trying for the nomination. People were tired of Bushes and Clintons in the Oval Office. After all, those two families held sway in this country for a total of 20 years! And if look at the present situation, you’ve had eight years of Bobo, four years of The Donald, and four more years of Bobo’s VP. That’s 16 years with two different administrations. America isn’t ready for another four of that!

I think there are several clues that point to this being a huge mistake. The most telling comes from Trump’s own daughter, Ivanka, who is going to sit this one out. The second was the fact that in the tight “need to win Senate races” of Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, Trump’s endorsed candidates lost all four. And he lost several key Governor’s races including Pennsylvania and Arizona.

Donald Trump gave us a booming economy when he ran things. I certainly don’t have a problem with that. He made history both in a good way, and in a bad way. He had the lowest minority unemployment rate in history. He had a huge financial win-fall for people of all colors in wage growth, all while keeping inflation at an average of 1.5%. And he managed to lower taxes for most people through 2026! You couldn’t ask for more economically than what he gave us.

Unfortunately, there was a bad side to Trump. The incessant tweets in the middle of the night, the name-calling of people he didn’t agree with for some of the lamest reasons out there. If you weren’t on board with him on every issue, you were against him. That may be one way to run a real estate empire, but it’s not a way to govern the best country in the world.

What I find interesting is the fact that the people that were closest to him during his time in the White House, people like his Vice President, people like his Secretary of State, people like two of his Chief of Staffs, all have come out and said, “We can probably do better than Donald Trump in 2024”. These people were the closest to him, and they aren’t backing him. Who is? Kari Lake. The loser in the Arizona Governor’s race to Katie Hobbs was the first to endorse his candidacy. Now think about that for a minute. Someone that lost their race for Governor, and is no more than an ordinary citizen, was the first to endorse Trump? That’s like saying I’m endorsing Ron DeSantis, or Barry Flippits (whoever that is). It doesn’t matter. Lake’s endorsement means nothing. It means one vote. Period.

So, Trump has decided to run again. Now, the best thing that can happen once the Georgia runoff gets sorted out, and all of the remaining House races are decided, is that the cable news networks, the broadcast networks, the talk radio stations, all ignore the fact Trump has declared a whopping two years before the election, and move on to the other things that America cares about.

Yes, if it were Trump v. Biden round two, I’d hold my nose. I don’t give up my right to vote for anybody. I would (and have) voted for the lesser of two evils. I just hope it doesn’t come to that! America is better than that!

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!

Has Trump’s Time Come and Gone?

Donald Trump wants to run for president again. That in and of itself shouldn’t surprise anyone. He’s got an ego as big as all of outdoors, and he doesn’t like to lose. When he does, it’s always somebody else’s fault. He’s quick to turn on anyone, even his most ardent supporters if he feels they’ve betrayed him in any way. And for a politician, that’s not a good thing. Because politicians know that they aren’t going to win every time out. And the guy that voted against your proposal today is the guy that could help drag you across the finish line tomorrow.

Donald Trump has become a dinosaur.

The one bright shining spot from this midterm election was Florida, and Ron DeSantis. DeSantis cemented himself as the leader of the Republican party if he wants it. And I for one certainly hope he does. You hear people saying all the time that we need to get past Biden, we need to get past Trump. Well, DeSantis is a very good option for getting past Donald Trump. He has all of the positives that Trump brought to the table. He has the policies that work and are good for America. He has the ability to communicate them and sell them to the voters in such a way that they are on his side, even the Democrats! And he has very little of the baggage that Donald Trump amassed over the years.

The only question is, what are the Democrats going to try and do to thwart him if he decides to run for the White House? And you know, they’ll try to come up with something!

What I find to be the most refreshing thing here is that we are on the cusp of having a true Reaganesque leader in DeSantis. We haven’t had that in the Republican party since Reagan. Trump probably came the closest, but fell apart when he had to tweet constantly and name called with impunity. Had Trump been less Trump and more Reagan in his behavior (hell, had he been more Obama in his behavior), he’d still be president today!

I hope DeSantis thinks it over and decides that it’s time to run for president and put Donald Trump out to pasture. DeSantis already did that with Charlie Crist. There’s no reason he couldn’t do it with Trump. Trump is already scared of him and you can tell that by the fact that when DeSantis was busy preparing for Hurricane Nicole, and helping Floridians get ready for the storm, Trump was out calling him “a fair governor”. Sorry Donald. He beat everything you did politically, and did it with class.

I really think the time has come for Donald Trump to retire, enjoy life at Mar a Lago, and play golf. He’s certainly earned that mantle. He doesn’t need another bout of campaigning, though I know it feeds his ego to have thousands of people cheering him. It doesn’t do anything positive for America. Especially when you consider that some 56% of the population have a negative view of him, and wouldn’t vote for him if he were the only candidate running. Hell, even Republicans don’t want him to run.

And as I think about it, didn’t we have the same type of thing going on just six years ago? Remember 2016? I saw more than one sign that said, “No more Clintons, No more Bush’s”. Well, we face the same thing today with Trump and Biden. Neither are the future of America. Both need to step aside for the next generation and let them fight it out!

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!

Here We Go Again!

Sometimes you can’t teach an old dog new tricks. It seems most of the time, you can’t tech Donald Trump tricks at all. This seems to be one of these times. In case you missed it last evening the 45th President of the United States decided he wanted to do what hasn’t been done since 1885. He wants to run for president again and become the second all-time non-consecutive president (Grover Cleveland was the first).

Most of the nation yawned.

I’ll be the first to admit I have never been a huge Trump fan. Oh, I thought his policies were really good. I thought he had the tenacity and drive that a Manhattan real estate mogul has to have to survive. But my God…the tweets…and the incessant name calling! And the ego! It drove me nuts.

Now, I’m well aware that to be POTUS, of any party, at any time, you’ve got to have ego. I fully understand that. But Trump had the ego of six guys. And he showed it again last evening when he announced that he wants to run for president again.

So, I think we can all get WHY he did it. He never has accepted the defeat he was handed in 2020. Partly because he mocked Joe Biden, and said, “If I can’t beat Biden, what good am I?” And then he lost to him. His timing just sucks. Most politicians that got handed the shellacking the Trump’s candidates took in the midterms, would back away, lick their wounds and try to come back somewhere up the road…maybe. Others would be like Hillary Clinton and find a case or two of Chardonnay to get lost in. Trump wants back in.

And here’s why it’s a bad decision.

First and foremost, this isn’t 2016. The country has moved past that. We also have been saddled with a 70 something president that doesn’t understand what day it is, or what country he’s in. We’ve seen what an addled mind can do to an office as important as the Oval. And while Donald Trump isn’t mentally in the same place as Joe Biden, he’s no spring chicken. Trump is 76. He will be 78 by the time the 2024 ballots are counted. That means he’ll be 82 if elected, when his term is up. And odds are he’ll be running against Joe Biden. He’ll be 81 come election day 2024, and 85 when his second term is up if reelected. I think America is signaling already that the nation wants somebody younger.

And if you look at the list of candidates out there, there are a ton of people that want to run that are a lot younger than Trump OR Biden. In no particular order, Ron DeSantis, K-baby Harris, Pete Buttigieg, Gavin Newsome, Mike Pence, Nikki Haley, Mike Pompeo, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Tom Cotton, and Josh Hawley have all said at one point or another, they’d be interested in running again.

Look, if you’re a Trump supporter, fine. I have no problems with his policies. I have problems with his deportment. No, I don’t believe the liberal rant that he’s a racist. He’s a womanizer, just like Biden, but we’ve had that for decades (do the names Kennedy, Johnson, or Clinton ring a bell?). But the country has moved on. Frankly, if you’re a fan of either Biden or Trump’s policies, you can find younger, more agile candidates in the list I just ran off. And they would do as good of a job as either Biden or Trump policy wise, and be more youthful, and probably more energetic. Certainly, they’d be much more presidential than either of those two.

Trump, like Biden is a guy who’s time has come and gone. They are both dinosaurs. Their party wants nothing to do with them any longer. It’s much like 2016 when signs popped up saying “No More Clintons, No More Bushes”. Time to move on and let someone else show us what they’ve got. And that’s what the primaries are for!

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!

What Does Biden Do From Here?

After winning the presidency, Joe Biden saw himself going from a “place-holder president” to another Franklin Delano Roosevelt. He thought of himself to be this once in a generation transformational president that Bobo Obama thought HE could be, only failed at. And for some unknown reason, Biden felt he was the guy to get it all done. That was the cause for all of the over-spending, all of the gaffes, all of the lies.

Now the question remains, what does Biden do from here. Does he play Bill Clinton and “triangulate” and make deals with the House to get anything passed? Or does he throw caution to the wind, and do as Bobo did, use his phone and his pen to get things done, pretty much ignoring Congress.

I think he does the latter.

Let’s face it. We were sold by the media that this was going to be some giant red tsunami that was going to clean Congress as it swept through. We didn’t get that. We got some little tweak that barely moved the needle, And now Biden has to decide if he doubles down, as most Democrats want to do when they are faced with loss, or does he decide to move more to the center, in hopes of winning a reelection.

And that brings up another point. Reelection. Because had the Republicans swept through and cleaned house on Tuesday night, Joe Biden would have concluded one term is enough and it’s not worth going through another year of living in the basement of his Delaware homes to do this dance all over again. Instead, what he saw was a Republican shudder. Oh, there were bright spots in the GOP Tuesday night, but it wasn’t anywhere close to a tidal wave. It wasn’t even really a ripple in a pond. It was an adjustment and nothing more.

So, I don’t think there’s anything there that would signal that based on what happened earlier this week, Joe Biden shouldn’t run for reelection. Short of a health issue, or an investigation that uncovers shady dealings with Ukraine or China, I’d say you have your Democrat nominee for president next time around. That’s with about 33% of Democrats wanting someone else to run.

The over-riding reason is, Biden sees himself as the one man on earth that is capable of beating Donald Trump. In his mind, he’s done it once, he can certainly do it again! The problem with that philosophy is that Joe Biden is four years older, and it’s actually probably more than that. Everyone knows the presidency ages you terribly. And Biden isn’t going to have nearly the energy he had four years ago. Meanwhile, Trump has sat back and just dealt with legal problems, all the while bashing the liberal establishment in DC. And let’s not forget one other little thing.

That thing is called Ron DeSantis.

Is there anyone out there that really believes that a younger, stronger Donald Trump wouldn’t mop the floor with Joe Biden? That’s exactly what Ron DeSantis is. He proved that handedly winning both Miami-Dade and Palm Beach Counties Tuesday night. He did it not necessarily with his mouth, but he did it with action. He knows how to counter-punch, take on woke businesses like Disney and win, and when the going gets tough, like with hurricane Ian, he gets things fixed. Don’t think America didn’t sit up and take notice of that on Tuesday night! And unlike Trump, he gave credit to his team, and didn’t take a ton of credit for himself in his victory speech (although he did say “I did this and that” a few times!)

What Joe Biden sees as a 2020 rematch may not be that at all. If Ron DeSantis were to throw his hat into the ring in 2024, could he beat Donald Trump mano a mano? I think it would be a battle for the ages. It would be an interesting dog fight to see who came out on top. But where Trump has over 50% in disapprovals, DeSantis doesn’t carry that baggage. He would sweep through Joe Biden, a guy by the way, that he doesn’t have a lot of respect for!

So, let’s bring it on and move to 2024. Don’t forget the lineup of candidates starts forming in January!

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!

Too Early To Look Ahead To 2024?

This is going to upset a lot of you. I get that, and I respect that. But there is some logic to my madness here. I know we are in the process of closing the books on a Joe Biden Midterm Election Red Wave. That’s a wonderful thing. And, as any political junkie would do, I’m taking a look at 2024 already. I know we’ve got a couple of years before the next federal election, but it’s going to be a rather tumultuous time, regardless what is decided on which candidates will be nominated to lead the charge to the White House.

On the Democrats’ side, I don’t see Biden doing it. Oh, he’s going to come up with some plan, some reason to not run. Maybe it’s health related. Maybe he’s just too tired. Maybe he doesn’t like the fact he got his ass handed to him in the midterms and he isn’t going to be able to run over all of the Republicans like he did in the past. Maybe he’s just told one lie, one gaffe, one mis-step, one “I’ve never discussed business dealings with Hunter” stories too often. I don’t see him running for reelection. He did after all say he was a placeholder to the next generation, right?

So who do the Dems run? Oh, the usual cast of characters. You’ll have K-baby Harris, Pete Buttigieg, I’m sure Beto O’Rourke will at some point throw his hat into the ring. You’ll certainly have Gavin Newsome running. But other than that, do you really see anyone on the horizon that is fit to lead? I don’t. Sanders and Warren are too old, and will be too far out of the mainstream by the time we get there. AOC is too young and too stupid. And nobody outside of her district thinks highly of her. I can’t seen anyone but the four I’ve listed joining the fray, but you’ll always have the Amy Klobuchar’s of the world wanting everyone to believe they are ready for the big time. They’re not.

And on the Republican side, it’s going to really boil down to two people. Ron DeSantis and Donald Trump. You’re starting to see that already with Trump starting to throw barbs DeSantis’ way. I would be very disappointed if Ron decided not to run, and actually would be somewhat disappointed if Trump decided to run. Look, Trump did some good things in office. He really did. He was caustic to the point of pissing people off, and was probably the most responsible Republican for giving us Joe Biden. Now, I’m not saying that after Obama, Democrats didn’t deserve to be pissed off. But there’s a right way and a wrong way to do it. Trump’s demeanor was the wrong way.

As far as running, if you’re going to make the case that Biden is too old for the office (and he is), then you have to say the same thing about Donald Trump. From a policy standpoint, Trump is exactly what we need. But from a personality standpoint, we need someone that is more of a politician and less of a Manhattan real estate developer. Oh wait! We have that in DeSantis, don’t we? And the only other person besides Trump and DeSantis that has a shot would be Mike Pence. What’s interesting is that the betting odds sites that I look at show that DeSantis has about a 67% chance of winning the GOP nomination in 2024. Pence is second with 58%, and Trump is third with 47%. And while the same bettors think Trump is probably the most electable, with 31% agreeing (DeSantis is second with 16%), Biden is 3rd with 12% and Harris fourth with just 5%.

It’s way too early to be determining anything, but I find it interesting that the bettors think that while DeSantis should get the nomination, he’s only half as electable as Trump is! It will make for an interesting two years.

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!

Are You Ready For The Madness?

It’s going to be a long night for a lot of people today. That’s because there are going to be a lot of elections that are “too close to call” tonight and probably won’t be decided for days. Hell, in Georgia, they may not decide it until December if there’s a runoff election between Raphael Warnock and Herschel Walker.

I think everybody and their cousin is expecting a “red wave” of sorts. How big that wave is, and how much it encompasses is anybody’s guess this morning. But I have a feeling that we’re going to get a pretty fair picture pretty early on. So, with that in mind, let me help you through the night, ok?

If we start watching the election results at say 7pm in the east, I would say not even to worry about the four states that are going to ultimately decide the outcome of Congress. First of all, it’s a foregone conclusion that the Republicans are going to take the House. And you’re not going to know until very late how big that takeover is going to be. Somehow, I doubt it’s going to be as big as 2010 when Obama got shellacked with a 60 seat loss in the House. And I do find that strange since we are in a lot worse shape today than we were 12 years ago!

What I’m going to watch for are a few things. First of all, watch the race between Maggie Hassan and Don Bolduc. If Bolduc wins or is within a point of Hassan, it’s going to be a really big wave. This guy was actually funded by the Democrats in the primary because they felt he’d be easier to beat in the general election!

The second thing I’m going to watch for is North Carolina. Ted Budd has started pulling away from Cheri Beasley. If that lead looks like it’s going to be 7 points or higher, again, it’s going to be a red wave of decent proportions. If Beasley keeps it close, it may not.

Then you’re going to want to check in on Ron Johnson in Wisconsin in his race against Mandela Barnes. If it’s more than five points, it’s going to be a cakewalk. Johnson is leading in the polls in Wisconsin by a couple of points, certainly within the margin of error. But they always seem to under sample Republicans in that state for some reason.

Next, watch the race between JD Vance, and Tim Ryan for the US Senate in Ohio. I’m thinking that if Vance wins this by 9 or 10 points or higher, and that’s a distinct possibility, it’s going to be the red wave we are talking about.

Now, let me preface this by saying that each of these races is individual. It’s not going to tell the whole picture if one of the races comes in one way or another. But if you start to see a trend in the east, the odds are, it’ll follow through. And don’t forget, you’ve got two of the “battleground states” in the east in Pennsylvania, and Georgia, and two in the west in Nevada and Arizona. And you probably can stay up all night and not know the results in any of those races tonight!

Best bet?

Watch the races I’ve highlighted. If they are all going red, you’re going to see the Republicans control the Senate. Don’t forget that if Hassan loses, that’s a GOP flip and they take control…and the only fight that looks to be a flip for the Dems at this point would be Pennsylvania IF Fetterman can pull it out, and that’s looking pretty shady.

If Bolduc wins in New Hampshire, and the GOP can control Pennsylvania, it’s all over. They don’t need Arizona, Nevada, or Georgia at that point, as long as Ron Johnson in Wisconsin delivers. And right now, the momentum is with Republicans in all of those states.

Look for the GOP to end up with 53 or 54 seats in the Senate when it’s all over and probably in the neighborhood of 230 seats in the House. Yes, it’s going to be a good night. And yes…I’m going to be munching on popcorn till all hours!

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!

One Week Away…And You’re Still Looking At Polls?

We’re one week away from electing the next Congress and filling a bunch of state-wide seats all over the country. And most people are still enamored by polling. Oh, the Republicans now have a three point lead in the generic ballot poll! Oh, look, Mehmet Oz is now leading in Pennsylvania. And Lee Zeldin has pulled ahead of Kathy Hochul in the New York Governor’s race.

Uh…no. They haven’t.

Nobody is ahead of anything yet. It’s because we are all tuned in to watching polls, and I’m the first to raise my hand and say, “GUILTY”. I’ve blogged about it here for months. Every time there was a shift in the polls one way or another I had to write about it as if it were a big deal. Here’s a dirty little secret.

It’s not a big deal at all.

It’s time we Americans learn something. Polling was very popular when Gallup started it back in 1935. That was almost 90 years ago! It’s only been in the past five to ten years we Americans have figured out how to game the pollsters. We tell them we’re Republican when we’re Democrat. We say we’re going to vote for candidate A, when all along we are going to vote for candidate B. And we try to figure out which side of the divide they are on, so we can mess with them.

Basically what it’s done is having polling companies get it really wrong. Like saying Hillary Clinton in 2016 was going to win by 12 points on election day. Or that Donald Trump was going to win in Georgia in 2020. And it’s not all our fault.

I also blame the polling companies who are as biased as media companies when it comes to elections. They want either the left or the right to win and aren’t afraid to slant their questions to get you to answer one way or another. When I smell a “push-poll” I usually play along with what they want to hear, knowing full well that it’s not reality. That way, they publish this outlier poll that says Candidate A is going to win in a landslide!

Personally, I take a lot of online polling, and I love to mess with the political polling people. I’m not the only one that does that either by the way. And what it’s done is make polls so unreliable, we get exactly what we are seeing today… we are watching the polling come down to being a toss up in every race in the country. In reality, very few races are going to be that close next week. And that’s why you shouldn’t be looking at polling companies and their data. It’s flawed.

There is a better way.

Find a betting website that takes bets on political races. There are ton of them out there. These are people that are going to be putting real money on the line. They do the homework, and they stay up to date on it because most of the people are actually professional gamblers that do everything they can to sway the odds in their favor. If you follow one of these sites, you’ll find out what’s really happening, and it’ll be a lot more credible than any polling outfit. For instance, in 2020, the betters all thought that Joe Biden was going to beat Donald Trump. It wasn’t even close. They basically called it in every single state!

And this year, the betters are saying it’s going to be a red wave. It’s not going to be close. Why do I feel comfortable saying the GOP will win not just the House, but the Senate as well? Simple. 65.1% of the betters out there have put money on the GOP winning. That’s up 0.7% in the last day, and up a whopping 7.7% in the last week. Only 34.9% say the Dems will hold the Senate. And that changed on October 14th. Up until that time Democrats had a fairly sizable lead in maintaining the Senate. So, what happened on October 14th? That was the Raphael Warnock/Herschel Walker debate in Georgia. The betters saw that as a true win for Walker, and saw the Senate going red. It’s grown every week since then. And since that time we’ve had the Fetterman/Oz debate in Pennsylvania that everyone and their cousin said was an absolute travesty for Fetterman.

In the House of Representatives, 87.9% of the money is riding on a Republican takeover of the House. Only 12.1% of the money backs the Democrats. And that’s WITH the GOP losing 0.5% over the past day. What it also tells me is that the GOP gained 2.5% in the last week!

So, as we go through this final week before the midterms, forget about the polls. They’re usually wrong anyway. Follow the money as the old saying goes.

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!

Can We Do Something About Misleading Campaign Ads?

They are all over the place. If you happen to live in a state where you don’t have a Senate candidate running for reelection, get down on your knees and thank God Almighty that you are spared the nonsense that some of us have to go through. And the problem is, at the present time, there is nothing we can do about it.

I’m talking about the lies and distortion of political advertising.

I’ll give you several examples about what I see here in the desert where we have a close race between incumbent Mark Kelly (D), and newcomer Blake Masters (R).

Kelly has come out and said that Masters wants to do away with Social Security and Medicare. That’s not true at all. What Masters has said is that it may be time to actually privatize Social Security. And he’s right. The left is making this sound like it’s some big deal, when every person working today (unless you’re extremely lucky to still be getting a pension when you retire) is invested privately in the stock market through your 401k. And the GOP wishes to privatize Social Security doesn’t have a thing to do with anyone currently on it. It’s a lie that Kelly loves to tell.

You’re hearing a ton of ads (mostly through PAC’s) that Republicans want to ban all abortions. That’s nowhere near the truth. Republicans have offered a few alternatives to a complete ban, such as Mitch McConnell’s 15 week limit for abortions, but it’s a states’ rights issue, not the federal government. I know it pisses off the left to hear that each state has the right to decide the future for themselves, but that’s the Constitution. The Supreme Court ruled correctly on this one.

And we get the over-blown resume-padding from incumbents that say they’ve done much more than they’ve actually done. Kelly has ads saying that “He passed a bill to improve Arizona’s infrastructure.” No…HE didn’t pass it. His party passed it. It’s not like he was sitting in the Oval Office, pen in hand ready to sign the bill when it arrived. He was told by Chuckles Schumer to vote yea on it, and he did. That’s not him “passing” anything. And he’s said this on a lot of different accounts.

Then there is the name calling. Here in Arizona, we’re in the midst of not only a Senate race, but also for the Governor’s mansion. Kari Lake (R), a former newscaster for 27 years is running against Katie Hobbs (D) the current Secretary of State. Lake has been leading by 3 points for quite some time now. It hasn’t changed. But leave it to the PAC’s to call her names like “Kari Fake” and say that she’s doing all sorts of nasty stuff. We really don’t hear much about this on the other side, though it does exist.

I’m just getting sick and tired of the lies and half-truths that are being told in political advertising. The sad thing is there isn’t anything you can do. Radio and TV stations are obliged to run the commercials they are given, regardless if they are true or not. And they can’t edit or change them in any way. When I was working in Ohio back in 1984, there was a guy running for President in the Ohio primaries that used the word “BS” (but said the actual word) in his campaign commercials. We couldn’t do a damn thing! We had to air it as we got it. So, if these politicians want to lie or twist the truth or mislabel something, they can do it without fear of retribution.

That needs to change. It would be nice to get back to the point where these ads actually told me WHY I should vote for a candidate, not how the other person should be in prison!

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!

So? Who Won “The Debate”?

Well, of course, that is going to depend on who you ask. But it appears that the “Big Debate”, the Lincoln/Douglas Debate of the 21st Century, went to Mehmet Oz in a landslide.

Oh, don’t get me wrong. There were quite a few libs out there that wanted to say what an admirable job John Fetterman did, seeing how he suffered a debilitating stroke just five months ago. But on substance…on what you bring to a debate stage? There was no doubt that Oz was the overall winner without much question.

Even liberals took to Twitter to ask why in the world Fetterman’s team ever would have let him take the debate stage against Oz. I can answer that one very quickly. What Fetterman has been doing on the campaign trail hasn’t been working. If it has, he would have played Katie Hobbs out here in the desert and refused to debate. Except, she isn’t leading in the polls.

Look, if you haven’t been able to watch the debate, I will give Fetterman credit for showing up. Let’s face it. Even without a stroke and at full mental capacity, Fetterman was up to his eyeballs in crap last night. Mehmet Oz has made a living over the last decade in front of a TV camera. You think he was the least bit worried or nervous? C’mon! Here’s a guy that has pitched some of the lamest medical devices in the history of the world to an adoring public and got away with it. Facing a stroke victim and having to keep a straight face and he bumbles his way through an answer? Childs play!

On substance, Fetterman apparently flip-flopped on his stance on fracking. He had earlier even signed a pledge stating that he would ban fracking. That’s not what came out of his mouth. He said during the debate that he always “supported fracking”. Ooops!

On a different subject, Fetterman said that he never backed a Bernie Sanders style socialist healthcare plan. However, back in 2016, Fetterman said that a national single-payer plan was “ideal”. Now, which was it?

Oz didn’t escape entirely. He was asked about abortion, and here was his reply, “There should not be involvement from the federal government in how states decide their abortion decisions,” Oz said. “As a physician, I’ve been in the room when there are some difficult conversations happening. I don’t want the federal government involved with that at all. I want women, doctors, local political leaders, letting the democracy that’s always allowed our nation to thrive, to put the best ideas forward so states can decide for themselves.”

Liberals of course, had a problem with that. Anyone that comes out with any restrictions (including a states’ rights argument) on abortion is deemed to have lost any debate, or any sane person’s vote. Actually, what Oz said mimicked the Supreme Court’s Dobbs v. Jackson decision and is actually the only correct legal decision the high court could have reached if you take emotion out of it.

Overall? Oz in a landslide. If this doesn’t move him into the lead over Fetterman, as he only trailed by 1.6% before the debate, I don’t think anything will. Move Pennsylvania into the safely RED column.

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!

Fetterman’s Folly

Tonight is the night that Pennsylvanians have been waiting for. Well, a lot of them anyway. It’s the night that John Fetterman and Mehmet Oz square off in their only debate, and it couldn’t come at a more crucial time for both political camps.

Oz had challenged Fetterman to debate as early as this summer, and Fetterman refused citing his recent stroke that he suffered in May. While Oz said he was certainly mindful of Fetterman’s condition, he would concede all sorts of things so Fetterman would be able to debate him. In the end, the pressure got to the Lt. Governor. He agreed to debate Oz once, after the mail in voting had started, as long as he got extra time to answer questions, and had a teleprompter that gave him a written question instead of just the oral question. He said that he sometimes has problems picking out the words people are saying.

The thing Fetterman doesn’t say is that he is doing the debate because the race has been tightening for the past three months. If you go back to July, Fetterman had a solid double digit lead over Oz. That lead has since evaporated. And it’s not because of Fetterman’s health necessarily. Oz has been hammering Fetterman on crime, making it the showcase campaign issue. Every time there is a murder, a shooting, a robbery, or an assault in Pittsburgh or Philadelphia, Oz hones in on it as a Fetterman-caused incident because he’s known to be soft on crime.

So, the debate is going to tackle the issues that Pennsylvanians care about most. Crime, Education, Inflation, Taxes, and Abortion are the big five in that order. And four of the five play very well into Oz’ corner. Abortion has been waning as a campaign issue around the country since Democrats all over the country have been hammering it as a major campaign theme since the Supreme Court’s Dobbs v. Jackson ruling back in June.

Here’s the thing. Democrats realize that, like a lot of Republican candidates running for office, they are going to be out-gunned when it comes to televised debates. Time and time again, Democrats don’t have the same communications skills that their Republican counterparts do. We see it with Oz and Fetterman in Pennsylvania. We see it in Arizona where Kari Lake’s 27 years as a newscaster on TV has caused Democrat Katie Hobbs to refuse to debate her. We have seen it in several races. So, the Dems have tried to downplay the debate.

Their take is that if Fetterman shows up and doesn’t end up spitting up on stage or having another stroke, he’s going to do better than most thought he would. The real truth of the matter is, Fetterman has to show the voters that his stroke is pretty much over (as he has claimed and his doctor issued such a statement last week). He needs to be cogent, alert, focused, and attentive. He can’t make up stories about Oz, saying, as he has, that Oz is making fun of him because of his condition. That’s just a lie and won’t get anywhere near a pity vote.

If Fetterman stumbles at all in this debate, especially after all of the concessions Oz made just to get him to appear, it’s going to be about a 2 point fall in the polls, and that’s something Fetterman can’t afford to give up. Not unless he likes being Lt. Governor!

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!