Last night was the second and final debate of the presidential campaign. The first debate was a miserable display by both Donald Trump and Joe Biden about how schoolyard politics can sometimes become. But last night was a lot more of what most Americans were looking for.
Frank Lutz, the Republican pollster who continually monitors these things said prior to the debate that his focus groups have continually said that if Donald Trump comes out swinging and interrupting and acting the bully as he did in the first debates that he would lose their votes and would lose the election. Conversely, Lutz added that if Joe Biden didn’t come clean with what was happening with the whole Hunter Biden laptop issue, and didn’t offer more of an explanation on court-packing than he was going to have a commission look into it, HE would lose the election.
Well, based on that, and Trump’s performance, which was ten thousand percent better, Donald Trump won the debate hands down.
Joe Biden never admitted to any wrong doing, which is absolutely the worst position for him to put himself in, because if it’s found out that he actually did do something wrong, he’s toast, either losing the election and having to face it as a private citizen, or possibly being impeached as president and thrown out of office if he is elected.
Donald Trump’s bar for last night’s debate was set, I thought, rather high. And he cleared it. Not by much, but he cleared it. Joe Biden’s bar meanwhile, was set much lower. Yes, he cleared it as well, but I think we all expected to as long as he didn’t fall into his gaffe bag throughout the night. He didn’t. Oh, he had a few slips, but it was nothing major.
So, what’s all of this mean in terms of the election?
Well, from where I’m sitting in the middle of the desert, here’s my take on it. The second debate didn’t show voters all that much. It DID show voters that Donald Trump can be rather presidential if he needs to be. It showed voters that Joe Biden didn’t step up and lead, either on the Hunter Biden issue or on the court-packing issue. Those were two things people wanted to hear answers on and Biden failed on both accounts. But in terms of the election with only 6-8% of the population still undecided, and a whopping 33% of the electorate already having voted, I don’t think it will change anybody’s mind, nor will it hinder the outcome.
Speaking of outcomes, it looks like while Biden is still clinging to the lead, it’s shrinking hour by hour. I know what the different polls say, and they’re starting to fall into the margin of error in the battleground states. Add in the fact that there are millions of us (me included) who have lied to the pollsters about who we are voting for, and that could mean Trump is actually leading in the battleground states.
And speaking of pollsters, I thought that Frank Lutz’ comment on what happens if the pollsters get it wrong again was rather blunt, but interesting. He said if the outcome is different from what the polls are all showing, that it is going to bring an end to presidential polling. That’s not a bad thing in this era of bias and hatred of all things conservative.
Carry on world…you’re dismissed!